It is getting very difficult for Romney to even have a hope to win this.
And Republicans cannot and will not now retake the Senate. It is mathematically impossible.
and I am sad. It seems so long ago he ran this cutting edge campaign….
[hana-code-insert name=’ScottB’ /]
here in Chicago, and it is warm inside….and Romney is not doing enough to win this. Scott Brown from Mass is in trouble.
Why is Romney having so much trouble? Because the base of the Republican Party is not excited to vote for him.
In Virginia, Romney is putting up a great fight. In Florida, Obama is suffering a bit….but this night is early. Romney is ahead now, but will lose this unless people changed their mind in the booth.
A friend of mine at Newsweek posted the Beast Board. It’s over….Obama is going to win.
So I predicted to a certain University President that Obama would win the election despite (at the time) the trends to Romney.
Rasmussen has the race in a statistical tie. The race will likely hinge on these battlegrounds:
Real Clear Politics is the place to find the latest polls. Judging from them, the race is too close to call. But in all the polls, Obama has always had a slight lead. Romney really has not broke out over the top.
Obama looks pretty reliably up in Ohio, and for me that spells game over for Romney. We could have the oddity of Romney getting the popular but losing the electoral. Most polls, including the one listed at Politico have a virtual tie. With no one getting really above the 50% threshold, this could be a long night. Unless people break hard one way or another, it could be close indeed.
Regardless, my prediction is Obama pulls this out and will be re-elected.
So this is where I voted today: at the Romeoville Village Hall. It was light, but poll workers say turnout is higher than the primary.
Have you voted today? How was the turnout?
I made a prediction weeks ago of how this election would turn out, that will come in the next post.
To all students in Pols 201, 202, and 415. I will be blogging the election tomorrow. Look for posts here about the election.