It is going to be almost impossible for Manchin to overcome 6 points in less than 3 weeks is this Rasmussen poll is correct.  It is possible this is all in the margin of error, but, given the debate this week, and the exposure Manchin has given himself the last week and a half, it looks like Manchin is not going to be able to thread the needle.  This race is back to a toss up according to Rasmussen. I am close to predicting Raese will surely win, given how flat Manchin’s numbers have been across the board–even in those polls that show him more favor.  However, I am not there yet.