Public Policy Polling (PPP), the Democrat leaning polling company has just released a new survey that show Manchin is up by 3 over Raese–yet he still only has 48% of the vote.  This race will likely go down to the wire.  It is still problematic that Manchin, one of the most popular governors in the Union, still cannot crack the 50% barrier.  With him below 50%, Raese still has a chance.  One other problem with this poll:  it was conducted on the weekend, which usually over samples Democrats.  Still, the race is close.  The advantage is still to Raese.