A new Rasmussen poll was released today.  It is not really good news for Raese–he trails by 7%, even though Manchin still cannot seem to break the 50% barrier.  Someone of Manchin’s abilities should be able to soundly defeat Raese, but not in this election cycle.  This makes the race lean Dem and not a toss up. Raese’s unfavorables are very high compared to Manchin’s.  That will likely be anough for Manchin to win this one, barring some major stumble.